Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.322943 0.382165 0.448228 0.527248 0.619052 0.722201 0.846735
2024-10-27 0.242819 0.323779 0.424254 0.557463 0.728704 0.940638 1.221926
2024-11-03 0.180537 0.269263 0.390851 0.567992 0.817482 1.153979 1.639311
2024-11-10 0.144123 0.238261 0.379453 0.603353 0.945296 1.442526 2.213189
2024-11-17 0.112370 0.204750 0.355528 0.614152 1.039471 1.701450 2.795695
2024-11-24 0.085090 0.170225 0.320827 0.598959 1.088981 1.900940 3.324332
2024-12-01 0.061114 0.134088 0.273777 0.550917 1.072550 1.989838 3.689384
2024-12-08 0.048961 0.116751 0.256000 0.550362 1.137442 2.224527 4.337089
2024-12-15 0.038382 0.099319 0.233392 0.534706 1.169868 2.405009 4.915614
2024-12-22 0.028969 0.081392 0.204929 0.499911 1.156453 2.495510 5.338253
2024-12-29 0.024525 0.074078 0.198066 0.510075 1.237683 2.783236 6.187470
2025-01-05 0.020812 0.067441 0.191043 0.518091 1.315309 3.074880 7.086774
2025-01-12 0.018166 0.063249 0.189970 0.542662 1.441334 3.501850 8.363248
2025-01-19 0.015838 0.059253 0.188601 0.567005 1.573917 3.969759 9.812400
2025-01-26 0.013292 0.053590 0.181089 0.573633 1.665294 4.361974 11.160867
2025-02-02 0.011877 0.051255 0.182791 0.606741 1.832961 4.964177 13.093547
2025-02-09 0.010104 0.046850 0.176782 0.616020 1.939146 5.435088 14.788168
2025-02-16 0.008157 0.040839 0.163581 0.599858 1.971051 5.724697 16.084073
2025-02-23 0.006097 0.033243 0.142188 0.551233 1.897399 5.726015 16.650280
2025-03-02 0.005121 0.030002 0.135563 0.550366 1.968335 6.129557 18.330438
2025-03-09 0.004149 0.026225 0.125500 0.534528 1.988756 6.396175 19.684208
2025-03-16 0.003188 0.021888 0.111441 0.499642 1.938773 6.451925 20.464768
2025-03-23 0.002780 0.020408 0.109166 0.509736 2.044485 6.988066 22.693898